How Time-of-Use Rates Support Grid Decarbonisation

published on 20 January 2025

Time-of-Use (TOU) rates can reduce carbon emissions by up to 40% as grids transition to renewable energy. These pricing plans charge less for electricity during off-peak hours, encouraging energy use when wind and solar power are abundant. Here's how TOU rates contribute to a cleaner grid:

  • Lower Emissions: Align energy use with renewable availability, cutting reliance on fossil fuels.
  • Peak Demand Reduction: Reduce strain on the grid by shifting usage away from high-demand periods.
  • Consumer Savings: Offer cheaper rates during off-peak hours to incentivise smarter energy use.
  • Grid Stability: Support electrification efforts and improve grid reliability.

Despite their benefits, only 7.3% of U.S. households use TOU rates due to challenges like limited awareness and infrastructure needs. Utilities can boost participation by using smart technologies, clear communication, and pilot programs to refine these systems.

What Are Time-Of-Use (TOU) Rates?

How Time-of-Use Rates Support a Cleaner Grid

Time-of-Use (TOU) rates help reduce fossil fuel use by encouraging energy consumption during times when renewable energy is more available. By offering lower prices during these periods, TOU rates naturally guide consumers away from peak hours when utilities often depend on fossil fuel plants to meet demand.

Cutting Fossil Fuel Dependence

TOU rates promote demand flexibility, which can lower emissions by up to 3% today and as much as 40% with fully decarbonised grids [1]. This works by aligning energy usage with times when cleaner energy sources are generating power.

In addition to reducing reliance on fossil fuels, TOU rates make better use of renewable energy by syncing demand with its availability.

Making the Most of Renewable Energy

One of the biggest challenges with renewable energy is matching supply and demand. TOU rates tackle this by encouraging energy use during times when renewable energy is abundant - like sunny afternoons for solar power - through lower prices.

TOU rates can achieve 60-70% of the efficiency gains seen in wholesale spot pricing systems [5]. This is especially important for managing activities that can shift energy use within the day, such as charging electric vehicles or operating heat pumps.

By aligning energy demand with renewable supply, TOU rates also ease the strain on the grid during peak periods, improving overall grid stability.

Easing Peak Energy Demand

Reducing peak demand through TOU rates brings environmental benefits by lessening the need for carbon-heavy backup power plants. For example, a TOU pilot in Fort Collins cut peak demand by 7.5% and overall energy use by 1.9%. Programs like critical peak pricing (CPP), which charges higher rates during peak periods, and load control systems, which automatically adjust usage, further support grid stability and lower emissions [7].

As utilities refine their strategies and integrate more renewable energy sources, TOU rates are becoming even more effective in supporting grid decarbonisation [2][8]. Smart technologies also play a key role, helping consumers better respond to TOU pricing signals.

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Barriers to Using Time-of-Use Rates Effectively

Despite being available to 62% of U.S. households, Time-of-Use (TOU) rates see limited participation, with only 7.3% of households currently enrolled [9]. Several obstacles stand in the way of broader adoption and effective use.

Encouraging Consumer Participation

One major hurdle is getting consumers actively involved with TOU rates. Nathan Shannon, CEO of the Smart Energy Consumer Collaborative, emphasises the importance of educating consumers about rate plans and their bills [4].

"The existing literature has been skeptical about TOU rates, typically finding that they capture only about one-fifth of the efficiency gains compared to passing through wholesale spot prices to consumers." - Tim Schittekatte, Dharik Mallapragada, Paul L. Joskow, and Richard Schmalensee [5]

A promising example comes from Southern California Edison's (SCE) March 2018 pilot program. Out of 400,000 customers, only 12% opted out before the transition, and just 2% switched back to traditional tiered rates. Their success was largely due to a straightforward rate comparison tool that helped customers understand the benefits [9].

Upgrading Grid Infrastructure

TOU rates depend on advanced infrastructure like smart meters, modern grid systems, digital communication tools, and data management systems. These technologies enable real-time tracking, billing, and feedback but require substantial investments and coordination among utilities, regulators, and other stakeholders.

Designing Fair and Clear TOU Rate Plans

Another challenge is creating rate plans that are both fair and easy to understand. TOU plans need to balance consumer needs with goals like reducing emissions. Using marginal greenhouse gas (GHG) emission values to assign accurate costs to specific time periods can improve the effectiveness of these plans [3].

Addressing these challenges will require focused efforts to boost consumer engagement, modernise infrastructure, and ensure rate plans are well-designed and accessible.

Steps to Make Time-of-Use Rates Work

Making Time-of-Use (TOU) rates effective involves combining clear communication, smart technology, and careful program testing. Here's how utilities and stakeholders can use TOU rates to support grid decarbonisation efforts.

Clear and Personalised Communication

Southern California Edison showed how clear, tailored communication can drive success. By offering tools like rate comparisons, they achieved an impressive 88% retention rate during their pilot program [9]. The key? Use simple language, visual aids, and personalised insights to help consumers see the benefits of TOU rates and track their progress. When consumers understand how TOU works, they’re more likely to embrace the technologies that help them manage their energy use.

Leveraging Technology for Ease and Efficiency

Smart home devices make managing TOU rates easier than ever. For example, smart thermostats can automatically adjust heating and cooling based on rate periods, while energy management systems and mobile apps let users monitor and optimise their energy use with minimal effort. These tools have shown real results: in 2015, demand response programs with TOU tariffs helped the U.S. save over 5% on retail electricity sales [6].

Testing and Scaling TOU Programs

Thorough testing is essential before rolling out TOU programs on a larger scale. For instance, the Nordic market estimates that TOU tariffs could unlock 15-20 GW of demand-side flexibility [6]. California’s SGIP program highlights another opportunity: incorporating real-time greenhouse gas emission data into TOU rates to further support decarbonisation [3].

Pilot programs are critical. They allow utilities to gather data, get feedback from stakeholders, and assess infrastructure needs. This process helps refine rate structures and ensures they align with decarbonisation goals. As these programs grow, ongoing evaluation and adjustments will keep TOU rates effective in advancing renewable energy adoption.

Conclusion: The Role of Time-of-Use Rates in a Low-Carbon Future

Key Takeaways

Time-of-Use (TOU) rates play a major role in cutting emissions and advancing grid decarbonisation. Research shows that demand flexibility through TOU rates can lower emissions by up to 3% in today’s grids, with the potential to reach 40% as grids move closer to being fully decarbonised [1]. For instance, Arizona Public Service successfully enrolled 56% of its 1.1 million customers in TOU programs by offering tools like education resources and bill comparisons [10].

However, challenges like improving consumer awareness and upgrading infrastructure must be addressed to unlock the full benefits of TOU rates. As we look ahead, integrating new technologies and strategies will help these programs grow even more effective.

Future Possibilities for TOU Rates

TOU rates have the potential to incorporate real-time greenhouse gas (GHG) emission data and advanced smart grid technologies. This would allow energy use to be fine-tuned, improving both distribution and consumption efficiency.

For businesses aiming to meet sustainability targets, TOU rates can align with carbon tracking and reduction plans. Smart energy systems, for example, can adjust usage automatically based on rate periods, delivering both cost savings and environmental advantages.

Globally, TOU rates are gaining traction, with adoption in 17 European countries and many utilities across the U.S. [2]. Their ongoing development and implementation will remain a key factor in achieving decarbonisation goals for energy grids.

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